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Being a mathematician and seeing the world in numbers, alongside being an avid horse racing fan, one question has always been on my mind: Is there a solution to picking winners in horse racing? “The Equation” answers that with a resounding yes! “The Equation” is a combined two things; a large pool of racing data and comprehensive mathematics. After years of developing complex statistical skills at a top UK university, the output is a three-pronged logistic regression algorithm that aims to predict winners within AW racing. The three-pronged approach allows for numerous variables to be accounted for thus covering every significant indicator within racing. The maths allows for a clear, simple approach towards betting, more akin to an investment rather than a “punt”. Working on a 1pt win bet per selection, “The Equation” has produced some astonishing results. The model works at an average strike rate of a 1/3 and after 7 months has returned a staggering 130pts profit! Bearing in mind the AW season is just about to hit full tilt, the models estimate for profit over 12 months is over 200pts. Meaning a £100 level stake equals a pay out of £20,000 across the year. This poses as an extremely lucrative opportunity to step away from tipsters with a strong “gut feeling” and instead, follow the numbers, follow “The Equation”!
Equation Racing 1
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